Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Job Market Updates -- Trend Improving?

Heigh Ho, Heigh Ho, It's Off to Work We Go! If ever there was a week to sing that old Disney® song, it was last week when Americans received some good employment news. Despite a worse-than-expected ADP National Employment report - which isn't known for its accuracy - the Initial Jobless Claims report came in on Thursday with some good news. According to the report, Americans filing for unemployment benefits came in at 550,000, versus the 580,000 expected. In addition, the four-week moving average declined for the sixth consecutive week.

The markets received more evidence of an improving job market on Friday. The Labor Department reported 247,000 jobs lost in July versus economists' expectations of 328,000 jobs lost. As you can see in the chart below, this is down pretty sharply from June's lower, revised 443,000 jobs lost and the smallest loss since August 2008. Even better, the Unemployment Rate dropped to 9.4%, from the prior month's reading of 9.5%. This reading broke a streak of 9 straight monthly increases and gave a lot of credibility to the good news in the job market.

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